tradefloorRESEARCH WORKSPACE
LOCAL FIRSTSource ↗

THE OPEN RESEARCH TERMINAL

A thesis is a starting point.

Explore the possibilities. Find the disagreement. Keep the evidence.

SYNTHETIC EXAMPLE
Opening the workspace…
Frozen experimentLoading receiptNO ORDERS · NO LIVE FEED

02 / EXPLORE THE DISTRIBUTION

An earnings surprise

-

Probability of UP--
Median simulated return--
DOWN-
SIDEWAYS-
UP-

Paths, not promises.

Conditional 10–90% range
Scenario median / 10–90% rangeNo-reaction median

FOUR WAYS TO READ THE SAME EVENT

P(UP) at right

Compare the baselines

Each row shows DOWN / FLAT / UP. A different probability is not evidence of a better model.

MAKE THE THESIS FALSIFIABLE

Where do you want to go?

Tab to a result · Enter to select · Escape to close

Research report